Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.893542 4.158607 4.445914 4.782967 5.170881 5.607568 6.142578
2025-08-03 3.649434 4.025740 4.460251 5.008669 5.697376 6.556419 7.750406
2025-08-10 3.352209 3.781460 4.299911 4.991296 5.922667 7.193188 9.189202
2025-08-17 3.024245 3.459120 3.999503 4.746676 5.803176 7.342644 10.012953
2025-08-24 2.795283 3.235225 3.795489 4.595476 5.778476 7.616777 11.158683
2025-08-31 2.653019 3.107259 3.700378 4.576296 5.936288 8.212047 13.222350
2025-09-07 2.488782 2.936700 3.530905 4.427828 5.866737 8.403804 14.600105
2025-09-14 2.346767 2.785560 3.375091 4.280934 5.774333 8.529640 15.949504
2025-09-21 2.223441 2.651883 3.233501 4.140452 5.670533 8.607714 17.282153
2025-09-28 2.167659 2.606383 3.212535 4.182117 5.886086 9.406783 22.007983
2025-10-05 2.179381 2.653884 3.327991 4.451887 6.569251 11.581801 40.103073
2025-10-12 2.143131 2.630717 3.335869 4.544034 6.932031 13.201051 74.049886
2025-10-19 2.134199 2.655252 3.432036 4.828285 7.845113 17.695941 NaN
2025-10-26 2.097276 2.636889 3.460949 5.001704 8.601859 23.395883 NaN
2025-11-02 2.019178 2.552195 3.376229 4.948971 8.785047 27.048342 NaN
2025-11-09 1.909560 2.414361 3.195315 4.687585 8.336462 25.867675 NaN
2025-11-16 1.826530 2.313668 3.070553 4.527463 8.146146 26.588504 NaN
2025-11-23 1.773784 2.256827 3.015149 4.500951 8.337394 31.277186 NaN
2025-11-30 1.704216 2.170911 2.905629 4.352195 8.128044 31.833163 NaN
2025-12-07 1.639938 2.090790 2.801970 4.207008 7.902873 31.954985 NaN
2025-12-14 1.580924 2.016806 2.705377 4.069214 7.677389 31.813661 NaN
2025-12-21 1.555033 1.993322 2.693574 4.108417 8.027342 41.549761 NaN
2025-12-28 1.564311 2.025166 2.779035 4.368356 9.253811 110.358845 NaN